Zman Market Timing Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Zman Market Timing

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (8017)	3/28/2016 12:25:33 PM
From: robert b furman	Read Replies (2) of 15903

I think we are about to move from a very negative "New Normal" into the kinds of recoveries we've had in the past. I takes a long time for an over extended consumer to pay down debt. I think any pick up in optimism and we'll get back into a virtuous debt cycle that will choke us again some day in the future. In between - we have us a nice recovery - That will catch many a perma bear (almost all young investors) by complete surprise. Housing has caught up in price and the laborers to build more do not exist. We will all find ourselves very wealthy having retained our homes during this housing crisis of almost a decade. Watch lumber - when laborers demand and get higher wages due to skilled trades shortages and a 2x4 is more expensive - housing will go through the roof. That also will happen to energy before this is over - a shortage of skilled laborers for fracing. Check out the vix: weekly: stockcharts.com daily: stockcharts.com Could just now be going into a new long low range? Bob

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