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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets!
LRCX 148.83+3.9%Nov 19 3:59 PM EST

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To: Jay M. Harris who wrote (4176)12/29/1997 11:35:00 AM
From: Clarksterh  Read Replies (2) of 10921
 
Jay - At the end of '95, DRAM, which suffered from the largest amount of over-capacity, made up about 60% of orders for semi-equip. Now it only makes up around 40%. In addition, in late '95 the logic makers and foundries were also over capacity, although to a substantially lesser degree than DRAM. That is far from obvious today, with most foundries booked solid. (however, I'll admit it is hard to gain insight into this except on a company by company basis).

Thus, '98 is likely to be substantially different from '95, although the uncertainty is likely to hurt capital equipment sales in the first part of the year.

Clark
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