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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum

GLD 371.65

-1.1%

Nov 17 4:00 PM EST

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (117595)	3/30/2016 5:32:47 AM
From: elmatador	1 Recommendation Recommended By 3bar of 217847

TJ, most people look to the green shoots promising a Spring. I look for the dry leaves premeditating an Autumn. What I am at it now is the death of the exporting model that so well served the world economy for 70 years. If I am right, I will get the next decades direction the world economy will take. How I look to the dry leaves? I make an assumption. Then I seek facts that add power to my assumption. The more acts I find supporting that assumption, the more right it proves to be. They more facts I find negating that assumption, the less power my assumption has and I need to discard it. See, you export as you grow. Inn the exporting model, you export to grow. In the case of China? it exported to a global economy running on debt. There is no more room for debt, China cannot export as before as the debts need to be paid. China must create its own demand -at home- to keep growing. (Thus my assumption its GDP would grow 4% tops in the coming years.

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