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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory

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To: Elroy who wrote (18173)4/29/2016 7:49:22 AM
From: John Pitera3 Recommendations

Recommended By
3bar
Hawkmoon
roguedolphin

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The Yen was at this level a couple of weeks ago... what is disconcerting about the Yen is the way it jumps around.. with gaps up and down... yesterday a 3% move in 5 minutes.... any day a major currency has a 2% move it's considered a big outlier move.



the Yen has been strengthening since it broke out in early Feb. Here was the chart from then

Message 30448123

Looking at a 35 year monthly chart ... USD could weaken and the Yen here shown as it's traded interbank market with the USD as the reference currency ..... the Yen could conceivably appreciate all the way to the mid 70's in term of how many yen a US dollar buys.

Banks purposely make currencies harder to understand by using the USD for the reference currency ( the one on the left as in USD/JPY and USD/CHF, and then using the EUR/USD and GBP/USD, AUD/USD where the EUR, pound and aussie are the reference currency.

Message 30451843

And the yield curve and the different views of the currencies.... EUR/JPY has been in a risk off mode

Message 30492662

updated Japanese 10 year yield



and the 10 year German and Japanese government bond yield on the same chart



10 year EUR/JPY key cross rate



John
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