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Strategies & Market Trends : Effective Collaboration - Team Research for Better Returns:

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To: The Ox who wrote (4935)	5/21/2016 8:10:47 AM
From: robert b furman	1 Recommendation Recommended By FJB Read Replies (1) of 8288

Ho OX, We've had several weak first quarters for 3-4 years now. I think it may be the result of Obama's tax increases - a lot of money has to come out for April 15th. Once past tax time we seem to grow faster. I don't think a measly 1/4 point interest rate change will do anything. Blaming it (1/4 point rate increase in December) vs the real consequence of our government extracting more from the free economy is something that must be worked into our seasonality patterns. The next increase should prove the point. The fed will not go there as that would be political and Yellen is NOT Greenspan. Greenspan would warn politicians the impact of new greater taxes ( in Obama's case ACA and rate increases). These are substantial - especially if you have total income over $250,000 ( 39.6% plus ACA's 2.3% or 3.8% ??) . Those in the market, are often in that tax rate and have to pull money out to pay the taxes due. It has an impact much greater than 1/4 point rate increase IMO. Bob

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