SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 421.32-0.5%4:00 PM EST
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: bart13 who wrote (119287)5/28/2016 12:56:14 AM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (1) of 219410
 
But any large black swans will likely push the economy over the edge into recession.

It would have to be a pretty big one. Housing is no longer a drag on the economy and will probably push it into overdrive in 2-3 years without that big black swan event. We still are far from a repeat of all the factors that went into the 2006 peak in many sectors and many regions of the US. Guessing near $4 gas prices nationally, a flat yield curve around 3%, several years of 1,2M+ new home starts, plus lots of first time home buyers leveraged with no skin in the game will signal we are near the end IMHO.. DOW and national housing prices could all be up another 20-30% before that happens..
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2026 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News