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Strategies & Market Trends : General market lab and commentary

SPY 670.92

+0.1%

Nov 7 4:00 PM EST

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To: Robohogs who wrote (494)

6/15/2016 8:30:17 AM

From: Robohogs

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As mentioned yesterday over on momo, we have now hit 8 lower highs in a row. We are now at a point where the streak ended 4x and continued in late 2009 (after the bull had started). So today SHOULD break the streak, We have strongly positive 1 day results 3 in 5, with a minor loss once and a bigger loss (2009) once. At one week, we have 100% positive results from 1% (2x) to 8% (all figures rounded). 2 week returns yield 4-10% (with the 9 lower high signal from 2009 replacing 4% with 10% - so bigger bounce coming even there once the tide turns). 2013 though still keeps the 2 week return limited to 5-10%. At 4 weeks, late 2015 has become negative, so only 75% are up, with 1 the same as at 2 weeks, 1 slightly higher, 1 much higher (2013 goes from 5 to 22%), and the negative. 8 and 13 weeks are highly positive.

Date	1D F %	1W F %	2W F %	4W F %	8W F %	13W F%
6/14/16
10/27/09	-3.58%	1.26%	3.83%	3.93%	11.18%	14.15%
4/16/12	2.02%	7.01%	10.07%	11.38%	9.93%	24.76%
12/12/13	-0.39%	0.96%	5.10%	21.95%	26.29%	27.29%
12/14/15	2.86%	8.01%	10.38%	-15.54%	-29.44%	-25.46%

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