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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: RMF who wrote (946905)

7/14/2016 12:42:38 PM

From: i-node

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TideGlider

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Yeah, and the ass clown Romney looked like he was going to win too if you looked at the polls.

That was never true except after the one debate where Obama fell so horribly flat. The Republicans were disbelieving of the polls and felt the need to "adjust" them. The reality was that Obama was ahead the entire time.

Today, FiveThirtyEight.com -- at worst, a very reliable aggregator of polling information -- is shaken. Their model a couple weeks ago had Trump with a 1 in 5 chance of winning, and today has him at 1 in 3. Still an underdog but one that has a lot to build on.

No one really knows what these conventions will do to the polls -- but you're going to have Bill Clinton and Barack Obama and Elizabeth Warren delivering first-rate speeches which will undoubtedly over-shadow Trump's persona. You're going to have millions in Democrat's big money against a campaign that is not wasting money.

If she doesn't come out of the next few weeks with a decent lead there is no reason to think she can win this election.

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