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Strategies & Market Trends : The Millennium Crash

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To: Chip McVickar who wrote (1885)	12/31/1997 12:58:00 PM
From: Arik T.G.	Read Replies (5) of 5676

Chip, You're right, It's time I made some orderly explaining of my views. It'll be long so I'll post it next year. The headers are- 1. Elliott waves I've counted on the Kahuna Thread on July 15(?)th. Look at posts 24xx-25xx titled "Why the bull is a swan" Found them - #2472 #2477 #2517 #2550 2552 2554 2. Fundementals (chiefly Price/Book, not P/E not div yeild) 3. General investment atmosphere - sociosphere of investors. 4. Parallels between current new era and previous new era- see the link on the introduction to this thread. I concure with almost everything said on the Skeptical Investor. Have put the link on my profile. I also share the overcapacity thesis concern which can be found on The Big Picture thread early posts i.e. posts #20 #27 #29. The main two scenarios I've developed were 1. Grinding bear to Dow 4xxx 2. New highs and millennium crash early spring '98. Reference this thread replies #12 #18 #125 Also Kahuna #3872 Looks like SEA crashes interfered with the course the market took after labor day. Undecided between the two scenarios it remained in the trading range (SPXand OEX). SPX 900 is IMO the key support. ATG

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