Castro's Dictatorship and Cuban Health Care:  	 [Ilya Somin,        February 20, 2008 at  6:03pm]
  Cuban communism may be repressive, but at least  it provides good health care. This is a common trope of left-wing  apologias for Castro's brutal dictatorship. This claim is getting  recycled yet again in the wake of Castro's recent resignation (e.g.  here). One  response to this point is  that of liberal Berkeley economist Brad DeLong: Cuba would likely have a much higher standard of living (and better health care) today had it not gone communist in 1959. As  DeLong documents,  Cuba in the 1950s was one of the richest countries in Latin America and  rapidly approaching Western European standards of living and health  outcomes. Under communism, it became one of the poorest nations  in the  Western hemisphere - despite receiving vast quantities of heavily  subsidized oil from the Soviet Union for decades. Taking Cuban official  statistics at face value (as DeLong does), Cuban health outcomes and  standards of living are roughly similar to those of Mexico and the  Dominican Republic. In the 1950s, DeLong notes, Cuba was vastly better  off than these countries and, on some measures (such as infant  mortality) better than many Western European nations.
    But there is an even more basic problem with the "at least Castro  improved health care" excuse: it assumes that official Cuban government  health care statistics are accurate. I find that assumption highly  improbable. A government that brutally represses dissent and  executed over 100,000 political prisoners  out of a population of just 6.3 million   is unlikely to be above falsifying its official statistics in order to  improve its image. That was certainly common practice in other  communist societies, including those which Castro used as models for his  own.
    When the Iron Curtain fell in Eastern Europe, scholars rapidly  determined that official Soviet and East European statistics were  routinely falsified to burnish the communist regimes' public image. As  this foolishly credulous 1973 Time article  noted, official East German stats indicated that, by 1970, East Germany  had a higher standard of living than Italy and was rapidly closing in  on Britain. Anybody with even the slightest familiarity with actual East  German living standards knows how far such communist claims were from  reality.
    How bad is Cuban health care really? I don't know. Probably no one  will know until the regime finally falls and honest data can be  collected. For now, it's at least worth noting that the government  health care clinics available to ordinary Cubans (those not members of  the government elite) look like  this and  this.  It's also worth noting that if Cuban living standards and health care   really were as good as the government claims, it's unlikely that  millions of Cubans would have risked their lives to flee the country -  not only for the wealthy United States, but even for such far poorer  destinations as  Puerto Rico and  the Dominican Republic. It's especially telling that many Cuban refugees  prefer even Haiti (the one Latin American nation that probably really is poorer than Cuba) to life under Castro.  The evidence of people  risking their lives to vote with their feet is a  lot more compelling than the Cuban government's  dubious health  statistics. 
    UPDATE: I am aware that some of the data on Cuban health care comes  from the United Nations and other international organizations. However,  the UN and the others depend on information provided by the Cuban  government. You can't do independent data collection in a totalitarian  dictatorship. Thus, the UN numbers are derivative of Cuban official  statistics.
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  The Impact of Castro's Repression on Cuban Health: [Ilya Somin,        February 20, 2008 at  9:05pm]  Trackbacks  As I noted in my last post, Castro's alleged  improvements in Cuban health care are often used as a counterpoint to  his repressive policies. Maybe he repressed political dissent,  apologists claim, but at least he improved health care. For example,  CNN urges its reporters to  "[p]ease note Fidel did bring social reforms to Cuba – namely free  education and universal health care  . . . in addition to being  criticized for oppressing human rights and freedom of speech." 
    In addition to the more obvious objections to this line of argument,  it's also essential to recognize that political repression is bad for   health. As I discussed in  this post,  the Cuban communist government executed some 100,000 political  prisoners and imprisoned some 350,000 others in brutal labor camps  during the the 1960s alone. This in a population of just 6.3 million as  of 1960. Obviously, getting executed is bad for your health. Due to the  milder climate, Cuban forced labor camps probably  have better health  standards than Soviet Gulags. Nonetheless, even a tropical Gulag isn't  too good for the health of the inmates. A substantial number of the  labor camp inmates  likely either died before their sentences were up or  had their lifespan substantially reduced as a result of privation they  endured. 
    Calculating the odds, this implies that the average Cuban at the  start of Castro's regime had a roughly 1.5% chance of being executed by  the regime and a 5.6% chance of being incarcerated in a labor camp. In  reality, the risks were probably higher than that for those who stayed  in Cuba, since the 6.3 million population figure includes several  hundred thousand Cubans successfully fled the country in the early years  of the regime ( the US alone admitted some 750,000 Cuban refugees between 1960 and 1976).
    Even if Castro's government really did improve health care  substantially for those Cubans who were fortunate enough to avoid being  executed or incarcerated in labor camps, the improvement would have to  be pretty enormous to outweigh the negative health effects of the  regime's repressive policies. How much of an in improvement in health  care would be enough for you to be willing to take a 1.5% chance of  being executed and a 5.6% chance of being sent to a brutal labor camp  for at least several years? 
    UPDATE: I have corrected a minor calculation error in my estimate of  the odds of being sentenced to a forced labor camp in 1960s Cuba. The  correct figure is 5.6%, not 4.8%.
  Related Posts ( on one page):
  Interesting Interview with Cuban Dissident Armando Valladares:  Are Cubans Satisfied With their Government? The Impact of Castro's Repression on Cuban Health:  Castro's Dictatorship and Cuban Health Care: volokh.com |