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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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From: bentway8/18/2016 7:24:57 PM
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Trump's shrinking electoral map



In polls, he trails Clinton in all battleground states and some, like Virginia and Colorado, seem already beyond his reach.

By Steven Shepard
08/17/16 05:09 AM EDT
Updated 08/17/16 02:08 PM EDT

Donald Trump’s path to the presidency is closing off, state by state.

More than a half-dozen traditional, must-win battleground states are falling off the map as Hillary Clinton surges ahead of Trump in the polls. And it’s left Trump — who isn’t answering Clinton’s advertising in the swing states — with little plausible route to 270 electoral votes barring a major, sudden change to the dynamics of the race.

Florida? Clinton leads by 9 points in a new Monmouth University poll out Tuesday. New Hampshire? The most recent live-telephone poll there had Clinton up by 15 points. North Carolina, which has voted for the Republican in eight of the past nine presidential elections? Clinton led by 9 in a poll there last week.

George W. Bush won Colorado and Virginia in both 2000 and 2004 before Barack Obama flipped them narrowly in 2008 and 2012.

Now? Both states are virtually off the board: Quinnipiac University polls on Wednesday gave Clinton double-digit leads in both states. Additionally, Clinton led by 8 points in Virginia in a new Washington Post poll out Tuesday, and she had a 14-point lead in a Colorado survey last week. Clinton’s campaign is confident enough in her current standing in those states to, at least temporarily, suspend television advertising there.

Nor has Trump made inroads in the upper Midwest, where some Republicans hoped his accentuated appeal among working-class white voters could help the GOP break through in states the party hasn’t won since the 1980s. Clinton leads by 10 points in the most recent poll in Michigan, and she is up 15 points among likely voters in Wisconsin, according to a well-respected pollster there.

continues at politico.com
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