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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Philip H. Lee who wrote (2899)1/1/1998 2:40:00 AM
From: James Clarke  Read Replies (1) of 78531
 
Nice post, Phil.

As long as we're going to set ourselves up to look stupid in a year, here's mine.

1. The U.S. market comes back to earth. The Dow hits 6000 and Business Week has a cover with a bear on it.

2. Asia looks no better in a year than it does now.

3. Small stocks have a great first quarter, then get out.

4. REITS outperform GE and Coca Cola.

5. Philip Morris and Boeing are the best stocks in the Dow. GE and Allied Signal are the worst.

6. Mutual fund outflows are going to become a big issue.

7. My best buy idea is St. Joe Corp. Short Kelloggs.

Since I make my living as a stock analyst, I would gloat intellectually, but panic personally should these come true. At least when I am out begging for food I can point to this post and say that I was right.

Anyway, happy New Year. And let's keep this great board going strong. Thanks Mike. A bear market will be painful, but that's when value investing is the most fun (so I've read). I know Mike is itching for a real drop. None of this 10% and then bounce crap. A nice 20% drop, followed by a slow, agonizing 20% fall. Coke at 40. Nike at 22. Philip Morris at 28...AND HYDE AT 4!
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