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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: zax who wrote (975195)10/26/2016 9:04:01 AM
From: Brumar89  Read Replies (1) of 1573433
 
Yes, it was widely discussed during the primaries and there were news articles on the phenomenom:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/volokh-conspiracy/wp/2016/03/02/so-far-trump-wins-open-primaries-and-cruz-wins-closed-and-the-calendar-is-starting-to-change-toward-more-closed-primaries/?utm_term=.d35a705cc863

......... In 2008 the Republican Primary brought 445,677 people to vote. The Democrat Primary got 532,468 people. In 2012, when Democrats felt confident that only Barack would be nominated this changed dramatically. This became 603,770 voters in the Republican Primary while Barack Obama was declared "unopposed" (which meant no Democrats needed to vote for their party, all could interfere in Republican elections).

In 2016 we had 712,633 votes cast in the Republican Primary. Interestingly enough 3 counties had very low turnout. Two of these three are primarily rural regions.
...........
Deeper looking finds that Democrat Counties often voted for Trump at 15-25% (average of 20% almost looks like) higher than the next highest candidate.
...........

1) Trump probably won close to 170,000 Democrat spoiler votes. Yes that many came out to spoil the election and I just do not see a spike in Kasich, Bush, or Carson enough to validate them having got those votes.
2) Rubio likely won some Democrat votes in his Southern County of Charleston as well as the votes Trump got. I estimate approximately 3,000 votes across the State went to assist Rubio in putting him over the top, perhaps as high as 7,000.
3) A reduction of 170,000 votes would make Trump be a low 3rd placer. The difference with the Rubio gains would also put Ted Cruz in 1st place with Rubio a close 2nd.
............

Verification will be easy on this as well. When the Democrats hold their Primary in South Carolina expect that they will have less than 390,000 votes between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton. This will reflect that a large turnout went directly to spoil the Republican election in S. Carolina.

[ Actual Dem turnout was 367K indicating a bunch of Dems voted for Trump I/o one of the Dem candidates. Proposition verified. ]

https://www.facebook.com/notes/michael-harrington/a-perspective-of-the-s-carolina-primary-and-how-democrats-spoiled-it/1495893357094580/
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