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Strategies & Market Trends : General market lab and commentary
SPY 683.41+0.2%4:00 PM EST

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From: Robohogs10/27/2016 8:39:04 AM
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HRC lead down to 6 in ABC tracker. First version was 12 a few days back. Does this mean latest batches +2-4?

The polls are funky, now stratifying into 3 clusters:
  • Even (Rasmussen, IBD AND LA Times) - all have issues
  • C+3-7/8 - most polls
  • C+9+ (AP, USAT)

I have no idea what to think. The preponderance of the evidence says Clinton easy victory, but still sensing something is off, esp. as House looks very safe (gerrymandering, clustering) and Senate has shifted to jump ball again. My argument on Congress has been ad counter-weight so they can all go together. Just saying numbers strange. The new methidologies about polls make me nerbpvous on accuracy. That being said, ground game and early voting goes to Dems.
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