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Strategies & Market Trends : General market lab and commentary

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Oct 31 5:00 PM EST

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From: Robohogs	10/28/2016 8:02:24 AM
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Very odd: you had IBD at Trump plus 1-2 and WaPo at HRC +12 earlier in week. I was told I had committed treason for questioning the ABC poll. Well both polls now similar with IBD at HRC + 3 and WaPo at HRC + 4. My comments look right on ABC/WaPo. On IBD, I think they have entered their methodological shift point changing voting screens. This is the shuft that some accuse them of using to target the average/herd and that made them accurate. I continue to think race has tightened. At HRC +4, we Nevertrumpers need to start worrying. With Ocare and Pay to play revelations of Clinton, Inc, who knows? I still put odds at 80% HRC. For those worrying, I have noticed early in day is good for Trump and later HRC. For some reason, her best poll series are released later. Jon

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