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Strategies & Market Trends : General market lab and commentary

SPY 681.89

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Oct 31 5:00 PM EST

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From: Robohogs	11/6/2016 6:22:03 AM
	of 668

ABC way wider again overall. +5 HRC. IBD now has T winning by 1. LAT to Trump by 6. In adusted terms, Silver WILL USE HRC+4, HRC+1 or even and TRUMP + 1 or 2. Big thing is Midwest where Trump in IBD continues to pull away. I am convinced by Ralston stuff that HRC will win NV. IN FL, I have seen stuff both ways. GOP turnout looks good but again Hispanic turnout does too and a bunch of it is Indy. If Cuban, may be ok for Trump. If Puerto Rican, trouble. If Trump loses both, it probably signals NM and CO unreachable too. That would mean Trump would need MI, WI, PA, NH, NC and that might not be enough. That is the ball game folks if so. This news probably takes House to plus 10-12. I was thinking 8-10. That should save Ryan his job but barely. On Senate, NV likely stays Dem. IL is a definite pick-up for Dem. JOHNSON is close in WI but probably not. NC looks close but GOP. PA looks close but Toomey behind in all recent polls. IF Midwest stuff is true, does that part of state save him? Prob not but do note no early votes banked. Any shift will change race. IN and MO probably GOP given Midwest and momentum. It all comes down to NH. JON

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