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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical Analysis - Beginners

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To: David R. Evans who wrote (7468)1/3/1998 10:59:00 AM
From: Jan Robert Wolansky  Read Replies (4) of 12039
 
Dave, I understand what you are saying, but am a little uncomfortable in using only current 80/80's for the purpose of backtesting. If I've developed a system that identifies trending stocks, shouldn't its true test be in picking out stocks from a database of 5000 during backtesting? If it's a good system, it should only pick out the trending stocks that continue to go up--some of the picks will be 80/80's, and some will not. I guess one way to get to your position would be to backtest on historical lists of 80/80's, for example, run the Metastock Explorer back on February 1, 1997 using a list of 80/80's as of February 1, 1997, but I don't have these historical lists. Do you?

I do agree that for trading, there's much to be said for sticking to the 80/80's since the probability of these continuing to go up is probably higher than others.

Jan
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