| To: The Ox who wrote (17519) | 1/4/2016 11:49:55 PM |
| From: John P | Respond to of 18520 |
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Thanks Ox. The UGAZ daily chart of WG's looks like more upside .....
The below ERX 60 minute energy bull share ETF has a bullish descending wedge that I have not annotated on the chart... The USO and crude are trying to rally.... crude closed above it's 21 DMA last Thursday... and crude may well attempt to work it's way north up to it's 50 Day MA at $40.. that's the bull side
The $40 level is historically tremendously important with the 1980 top occurred there after the run up from the 3 to 4 area was where we when OPEC cartelized itself in the early 1970's... as well as the first Gulf War top at $40 in Jan of 1992
it has to compete with the fundamentals
Light, sweet crude for February delivery fell 28 cents, or 0.8%, to $36.76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent, the global benchmark, fell six cents, or 0.2%, to $37.22 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
More than 18 months into the crude-price rout, oil production remains high around the world. The U.S. Energy Information Administration on Thursday said that domestic oil production was higher than previously reported in each of the first nine months of 2015.
On Monday, data provider Genscape Inc. told clients that crude-oil stockpiles in the key storage hub of Cushing, Okla., rose to a record in the week ended Friday. Ample Cushing supplies in the past year have sparked some concerns that Cushing, which is the delivery point for Nymex futures, could run out of storage space for oil....
Some oil analysts and investors have argued for months that the low price of crude doesn’t adequately account for a possible supply disruption due to violence or unrest. The oil market has been vulnerable to sharp rebounds in recent months as traders who had bet on lower prices quickly reverse course.
Hedge funds and other money managers have held large numbers of bets in recent weeks that oil prices would fall, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Increased concerns about geopolitical conflicts could have prompted some traders to close out their bearish bets.
Feb and March of 2017 and Dec of 2018 were the 3 longer dated months on the NYMEX crude strip that had the largest volume today.... and they were all being sold and down on the day.....
The east coast is having it's coldest temperatures of this winter..... as is much of the country that helps Natural Gas in the near term
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JP