it depend what you call science, please not that about 66% of studies in major science journals are shown later, to be wrong. freedman.com
Almost 100% of long-term economic studies are proven to be wrong based on the grand-daddy of all studies related to experts, made by Philip Tetlock Professor of Organizational Behavior at the University of California, Berkeley. Prof. Philip Tetlock, spent 20 years following 300 elite media and government experts making 82,000 predictions. After 20 years, the predictions did a fraction better than a chimpanzee throwing darts at a board.
There are so many variables that affect the atmosphere that it is a waste of time to model it. Very big volcanic eruption definitely have a great impact on earth's climate, example Santorini Island in the mediterranean or more recently a volcano eruption of Mt. Tambora, Sumbawa Island, Indonesia, y 1600 Huaynaputina, in Peru or Mount Pinatubo, 1991
Amen!!! The practictioners of the extreme views ( and many of the "everybody knows" practictioners) in virtually all fields, are so wedded to likely erroneous studies and false data etc, including the hugely money motivated folk like Gore or big oil, make most of them useless or even harmful, especially if it gets into "there will be disaster" and heavy fear mongering. The use of fear mongering alone is enough to tilt me heavily against the view being promoted, and urge further investigation and research.
The area is even part of the reasons for which I'm shutting down updates of my website in a few weeks - just plain unreliable data and attackers who can't and won't do real research, plus a desire to actually be able to have some retirement time for myself and other projects.
But all this does not negate, but enforce the fact that human activity does affect the global warming as all those eruption did pollute the atmosphere with aerosols, acids and dust
Ah yes grasshopper (-g-), that's partly why I noted being in favor in an earlier post about many existing anti-pollution efforts. No question that some human activities are helping the long term warming too, but the real question (besides all the false/exaggerated NOAA temperature data and other spin, especially the many studies that show rising CO2 occuring *after* temperature increases) is how much of that warming is *not* about CO2 and/or GRGs. I see very little of that being addressed across the board, including factors like soot coming from many sources including diesel exhaust, and what the effects of simple water vapor are. |
