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Technology Stocks : 2000 Date-Change Problem: Scam, Hype, Hoax, Fraud

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To: Bill Wexler who wrote (429)1/4/1998 5:43:00 PM
From: David Eddy  Read Replies (1) of 1361
 
Bill -

That's because there is zero evidence that the so-called "Y2K" problem is as widespread or disastrous as the hypesters make it out to be.

Here's a single data point on the scale of what a company is dealing with in it's systems:

--------- these are real numbers taken from about 1990 ------

Size of the Problem

Over 5 year period a medium sized oil company developed a directory of their systems:

 3,200 systems and subsystems

 250,000 tasks (batch and on-line)

 180,000 program segments (4GL)

 40,000 subject databases (views)

 60,000 mainframe datasets

 45,000 copybooks, screen maps

 250,000 intersection records

Directory has approx. 1,000,000 entries!

NO data element level or logical structure definitions.

NO client/server or desktop included in these counts.
-----------------------------------------------------------

I don't know if you've ever tinkered with taking apart things like clocks & engines & stuff... but when you start dealing with mechanisims with lots of moving pieces (particularly when there's no plan or schematic to tell you precisely how all the parts fit together or what their purpose is), the chances of you taking it apart & then getting it back together again in healthy working trim is very slim.

And by-the-way, please not to forget that the 'engine' you're working on runs 24x7x365 (24 hours per day, 7 days per week, 365 days per year)... you don't get to turn it off!

- David
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