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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 444.95-10.3%Jan 30 4:00 PM EST

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To: John Vosilla who wrote (126967)12/23/2016 7:07:55 PM
From: bart13  Read Replies (1) of 219956
 
10 year treasury rates hit lows for the eight Obama years right before last two elections. What are the odds of that without serious intervention??

Zero IMO, and one of the main ways strong intervention has occurred is via the Fed's daily Securities Lending OMO with as much as $38 billion throw at the 10 & 30 over the last 7 years. The most "interesting" part of that is that it has been failing the last few months - the Fed is no longer in control of the Treasury rates, which has never happened before while I've been tracking the daily SecLend OMO "donations"

Still I live in my own bubble predicting hell to pay that will be worse the longer these distortions continue but much more needs to be aligned first.

We remain in historically uncharted territory. I'm no longer near as positive timing wise that the Fed will be able to pull a rabbit out of their hats, even with a short or significant correction. The worst part is that they mostly and publicly think that they have it under control. The Christmas rally is probably kaput...
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