2017 Biotech Charity Contest Message Board

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Biotech / Medical : 2017 Biotech Charity Contest

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Joe Wesley

From: Robohogs

12/31/2016 11:45:24 PM

1 Recommendation Read Replies (2) of 344

Ok. New approach this year. I am going with the 2016 losers by algorithm. Here is how I arrived at my picks.

1. Take favorite stocks last year. Being in so many portfolios, they must have had something ok.
2. I then weeded out those that did better than -28% (wanted to keep FGEN although EVERYONE is in it) or worse than -65%.
3. I then checked market caps. I was going to reduce to those >$100 million to force something meaningful left in company but decided to keep 2 that were half the cap (for fun - and because 1 looks binary to me and because 2-3 from Dew's thread in the other). I also kept one right at the cutoff.

My picks:

ADAP 8%

ARQL 8%

BLCM 8%

CMRX 8%

ESPR 8%

FGEN 10%

NKTR 8%

OCRX 8%

OMER 8%

TGTX 8%

TRIL 10%

TTPH 8%

$100 to winner.

I just returned to computer today. My quant studies are showing 2 extreme buy signals in XBI (6 weeks with lower lows and lower highs; down last year, quarter and month) and 1 moderate buy signal in BTK (%'s above moving averages).

Jon

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