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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 43.75+0.6%3:59 PM EST

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To: Mo Chips who wrote (43843)1/4/1998 9:57:00 PM
From: Mark Pritikin  Read Replies (2) of 186894
 
<<Next years estimates are for a meager ~9% rise in earnings. At 17x next years earnings I'd say this may not be the case. I think unless there are surprises out there, we could easily see a fall to the 60s or even the $50s...>>

Next years earnings rise for the entire S&P 500 is only 7% and the market is trading at 20 times forward S&P earnings. The market is clearly risky, but I'm sticking with Intel as the downside is limited relative to the long term upside. Whats riskier, a company like Cisco with a little over a $1/share in trailing earnings trading at almost 60 or Intel with almost $4/share in trailing earnings trading at 70. Sure future growth is important, but trailing earnings are reality, forward is anyones guess.
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