John Pitera's Market Laboratory Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory

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To: Slumdog who wrote (18632)	1/25/2017 2:04:22 PM
From: John Pitera	3 Recommendations Read Replies (1) of 33421

Slumdog, their will be time for the currencies and the EUR short... Right Now the action is in the US equities and Gold could not break 1220 and fell back to 1196... similar to Silver neither could rise above their ..382 retracement on the daily chart. The 10 Year Note You Are so very right to be asking about it.... as the SPX, DJIA, NDX ,RUT zoom upward, the TNX and TYH moves swiftly lower... Here is a 60 minute globex March 10 year futures chart has had a very nice decline since Tuesday morning. This is a 10 minute chart and the 10 year note has gone straight down in price since you asked about it a good time to be short. Here is a daily chart of the TNX the 10 year note yield which is simply the inversion of the 10 year note futures...... Up in yield = down in price. ( that's the difference that arises from bank bond traders vs. Traditional CBOT bond futures traders. Ever since we hit the historic all time low on July 6th... at 1.336 .. also the day that Gold topped out and the Japanese Central bank did a radical global shift from negative interest rates and moves them up massively in a few days. the US bond market has all the looks of a really juicy bear market in price....... as you can see how effortlessly our yields have gapped higher and we did the shortest .236 retracement on the TNX before rates start to head back up. 2.6% is a key level. as is 3.0% The bear move in the 10 year note was as one way and swiftly trending down as was the 6 week advance in the SPX etc after the trump election. I have quite a bit of longer term 10 year note work I have been doing on this thread over the past several years including some comprehensive analysis where I show how the time and price has just balanced from the 36 year secular bear market in bonds from 1946 to Oct 19th 1981 has just been met in time ( with a very small adjustment for a retrograde period. and the 36 year bull market in bond prices has now ended. on July 6th of 2016. Trading and investing in bond instruments that make money as yield rise is probably going to be one of the greatest money making opportunities over the next 3 years...... and not that many people are playing that game... which is why it should be exciting and rewarding...... Markets that everyone is watching and participating in can bog down compared to those that are not as heavily focused on...... True trends are enabled to develop and run.. looking forward to talking more with you regarding this. John

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