Bastardi tweeted this morning about the teleconnection patterns setting up for forecasted cold come mid-February. The US and Euro models are agreeing on this, so that may be the spike in nat-gas based upon a consensus forecast.
Remember, weather is change. So when large patterns readjust, this is a big change. Around 1-Feb is a big California storm, and I expect that to dump rain and snow along Pacific NW. This disturbance will seed another out of the Gulf coast of Texas and turn into a whopper of a storm around Feb 6-7. Severe weather with the cold front (AL, GA, FL) and hefty snow as the cold air gets entrained into the low (AK, MO, KY, SE OH, WV, PA).
The warmth moves up the west coast as the ridge builds. During this transition, the waves will come in from the Pacific NW and meet up with Gulf disturbances. I'd expect snow to build over the Great Lakes.
As for megalopolis of the east coast, it's all about timing. With a 'polar vortex' pattern + solar flare forecast, I'd look for a very active end of February (around 23 & 26)...probably a 1-2 punch, especially for Washington DC. Big dump of snow and strong, strong winds.
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