"Did the planet stop warming? [well yes, actually, it pretty much did for the last 20 years, but that’s another story…"
Actually, temperature went up about 0.3 degrees C over those 20 years, and that's the rest of the story.
This year is starting off with a bang.
.Friday, February 3, 2017
NCEP/NCAR January warmest month since April 2016.
The Moyhu NCEP/NCAR index at 0.486°C was warmer than any month since April 2016. But it was a wild ride. It started very warm, dropped to temperatures lower than seen for over a year, rose again, and the last two weeks were very warm, and it still is. The big dip coincided with the cold snap in E North America, and in Central and East Europe, extending through Russia. Then N America warmed a little, although some of Europe stayed cold, and there was the famous snow in the Sahara. Overall, Arctic and Canada (despite cold snaps) were warm, as was most of Asia. Europe and the Sahara were indeed cold.
I'll note just how warm it still is, historically. I don't make too much of long term records in the reanalysis data, since it can't really be made homogeneous. But January was not only warmest since April, but warmer (by a lot) than any month prior to October 2015.
UAH satellite, which dropped severely in December, rose a little, from 0.24°C to 0.30°C. Arctic sea ice, which had been very low, recovered a bit to be occasionally not the lowest recorded for the time of year. Antarctic ice is still very low, and may well reach a notable minimum.
With the Arctic still warm, I would expect a substantial rise for GISS and TempLS mesh, with maybe less for HADCRUT and NOAA.
Posted by Nick Stokes at 4:09 AM
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