The Trump Presidency Message Board

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Politics : The Trump Presidency

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To: Lane3 who wrote (11598)	2/20/2017 4:29:19 AM
From: Lane3	Read Replies (2) of 362995

Occam’s Razor and Trump Andrew Sullivan’s post is far better than this one; read his instead: nymag.com As far as I can tell: 1. About 100% of liberal pundits think Trump’s a buffoon 2. About 100% of moderate pundits think Trump’s a buffoon 3. About 50% of conservative pundits (and more of the elite ones) think Trump’s a buffoon 4. Some conservative pundits think Trump’s being unfairly maligned. I’m not opposed to contrarian positions; I’ve taken them myself (as in my view of the Fed’s role in the Great Recession.) But monetary policy is a highly specialized field, and popularity contests aren’t of much use when evaluating the truth of propositions related to the liquidity trap, or the many worlds interpretation of QM. But while most people are not well informed on arcane economic issues, they are hard wired to be pretty good at reading their fellow human beings. You didn’t need a PhD in psych to notice that Jimmy Carter was more honest than Richard Nixon. Many of my commenters are ignoring Occam’s Razor, and are making a highly improbable claim. They seem to think that the small number of conservative pundits who respect Trump are the only ones not blinded by ideology. Liberals are blinded by bias and moderates are blinded by bias and me and George Will and Jonah Goldberg and all the other right of center people who see Trump for what his is are simply “hallucinating”. That’s certainly possible; people who hallucinate don’t know they are hallucinating. But think about what your claim means. If it’s possible for me to hallucinate and not know it, then it’s equally possible for you to do so. I’ll go with the simpler explanation; the few pundits who don’t see Trump for what his is are the one’s with a “bias” problem. After all, did 100% of conservative pundits and 100% of moderate pundit and 50% of liberal pundits think Obama was a buffoon? I didn’t like the guy’s economic policies, but he seemed no worse than the run of the mill politician in almost any given human attribute, and better in some (like ability to speak). So I’ll go with the simplest and most logical explanation for why so many pundits think Trump is a buffoon, until I see evidence to the contrary. more here themoneyillusion.com

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