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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks

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To: WBendus who wrote (208)1/6/1998 3:08:00 AM
From: Jon Tara  Read Replies (2) of 18691
 
"think that one of biggest concerns for AOL should be the fact that modems are sitting around in inventory at companies like COMS. This should be particularily alarming and it is a warning sign that the growth of telephone connections to the internet may be coming to a dramatic slowdown. "

Glad you qualified that with "telephone".

Bet if you checked around at Motorola, you'd find that those BIG, FAT modems (cable modems) are not just hanging-around taking up space.

AOL needs to figure out how they are going to fit into that picture. They should have been making deals with cable companies long ago, and are probably too late for the party. Now they are going to be left with fight it out as a "content provider" (e.g. a big web site).

AOL's speciality has always been providing access for the masses. The irony is that they have ignored the ultimate means of providing net access to the massess, which will be provided without the help of AOL.
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