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Non-Tech : Littlefield Corporation (LTFD)
LTFD 0.1700.0%Sep 29 11:29 AM EST

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To: ted w. kentzel who wrote (6178)1/6/1998 4:15:00 AM
From: jgideon  Read Replies (1) of 10368
 
You folks are forgetting to take the warrant call share
dilution into account. Look at the Q3 press release and
you'll see that BNGO has $1.866 M in net income for the
first nine months of the year. A simple extrapolation of
that figure (i.e., multiply by 4/3) gets you $2.488 M for
the year. With 9.5 M shares outstanding after the
warrant call, you get an EPS of 0.26 for 1997. Because
Darlington is being treated as a pooling and was stated to
be accretive, this is a low end estimate.

To include Darlington, we add $4 M to revenues, which
translates to about $1 M in net income (using a 25%
profit margin - BNGO currently has a 26% profit margin).
So let's estimate about $3.5 M in net income after the
pooling. Again, with 9.5 M shares, we get about 0.37 EPS
for 1997. That figure does not make any unusally optimistic
assumptions.

Now, give BNGO only a PE of 20 and you get a $7.40 price.
A company growing this fast deserves a higher PE multiple,
but that won't happen until the SC VGM situation becomes
clearer.

jg
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