Off Topic:
This guy (Oldman/Oleman) bears listening to, as he like other respected posters on this thread has a "test of time" pronouncement!!
oleman . . Mon, Jan 5, 5:26PM CST ( -0600 GMT ) The bond close today is the most significant single development in the markets since I started investing over 25 years ago.
oleman . . Mon, Jan 5, 5:29PM CST ( -0600 GMT ) make that 35 yrs.
oleman . . Mon, Jan 5, 5:38PM CST ( -0600 GMT ) bondz: 9 months ago I announced here that I had taken the largest bond position of my life. At that time I said 130 was the long term target. I expected that to happen late this year, during the coming recession. To make a solid all time high now, while the economy is still in an expansionary mode, means 150 is the minimum, with a final high between 180-200 very doable. It also means that there are SOME things that even Bobby R and the Boyz cannot control. I am stating categorically, without reservation that we are heading for a deflationary depression. within 1 year from today, the Earnings of the Dow 30 will be NEGATIVE. We may have a blowoff high in stocks, or we mayh not see new highs----I dont know. But, by early next year, we will see the DJIA south of 3000. Mark it down---1/5/98 122^29. This is REAL! All IMVHO, of course.
oleman . . Mon, Jan 5, 5:56PM CST ( -0600 GMT ) two: I dont think a solid new all time high in bonds, coupled with almost a 3% drop in gold and a 2 yr low in the CRB is an omen of an economy that is going to "continue to expand."
oleman . . Mon, Jan 5, 6:17PM CST ( -0600 GMT ) johnd: Gold will break $250 before groundhog day.
oleman . . Mon, Jan 5, 6:18PM CST ( -0600 GMT ) john: Maybe this week.
oleman . . Mon, Jan 5, 6:24PM CST ( -0600 GMT ) twocents:The internet chat folks didnt drive the bond market to an all time high. That's big, serious money, my friend. real big and real serious. |