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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Thomas A Watson who wrote (1011166)4/12/2017 5:32:53 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (1) of 1574894
 
You have no idea what you're talking about, and I'll bet you're too dumb to know that.

Hearing about climate science and the scientific method

John Christy played the lack of a hotspot card and also promoted his model-observation comparison, that he claims illustrates that the models have failed. There is an interesting Climate Dialogue discussion about the tropical hotspot, in particular the contribution by Steven Sherwood. I was pleased that, during the hearing, Michael Mann pointed out that if the troposphere has indeed warmed less than we expected, that that would imply that our climate is more sensitive than we expect, not less, since the tropical hotspot is indicative of a negative feedback. John Christy’s model-observation comparison is also discussed in this Realclimate post and it’s clear that there are a number of issues to consider, such as how you baseline the datasets, the model spread, and the structural uncertainty in the observations. It seems clear that the discrepancy between the models and the observations is nowhere near as large as his comparison suggests.



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