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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: James Seagrove who wrote (1011529)	4/15/2017 7:43:21 PM
From: Wharf Rat	Read Replies (1) of 1575140

First Quarter of 2017 Is Warmer Than the 2016 Annual Average January through March anomaly is 1.04C above the already-warmed 1950-1980 baseline. The record-warm 2016 was .98C above. I hadn't thought there'd be any chance that a (so far) non-El Nino year would beat the 2016 record, but now I'm not so sure. Who knows what regression to the mean means anymore for climate, but given even odds I'd still guess 2016 will come out on top. And OTOH given even odds I'd say 2017 will beat 2015's former warmest record of .86C. I'd take some level of odds against me that 2017 will be at least the third-warmest year on record, easily beating 2014's former warmest record of .74C. The rest of 2017 would have to average below .64C to end up less than 2014, a temperature that was typical 10 years ago but not anymore. POSTED BY BRIAN AT 4:19 PM

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