| | | That 14.8C degrees current global temperature again
A correspondent has updated me on the above issue. He points out that the 14.8C GAT referred to is also the Annual Average for 2016. 14.84C is shown at the NOAA Annual Summary here. They show .94 anomaly + 13.9 average, which is 14.84.
This compares with HIGHER temperatures reported for 1997 and 1998
NOAA say that their 1997 and 1998 averages were wrong and that they have subsequently been revised downwards. They say:
"Please note: the estimate for the baseline global temperature used in this study differed, and was warmer than, the baseline estimate (Jones et al., 1999) used currently. This report has been superseded by subsequent analyses. However, as with all climate monitoring reports, it is left online as it was written at the time."
That is mightily convenient. It becomes amazingly convenient when one notes that the original GAT for 1997 in the report was 16.92C -- ie over 2.0C warmer than 2016. Over the last 20 years they have lowered the 1998 temperature by 2.4C, and they currently say records are being broken by a measly tenth or hundredth of a degree.
Clearly, the average global temperature is at best an unreliable and wild guess of no worth for policy or any other purposes. On the original NOAA figures, the earth has COOLED by 2 degrees since 1997/1998 -- JR
---------------------------------------------------------------
I've gone to the source sites and copied this:
... The average global temperature across land and ocean surface areas for 2016 was 0.94°C (1.69°F) above the 20th century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F)
............
The 1901-2000 average combined land and ocean annual temperature is 13.9°C (56.9°F), the annually averaged land temperature for the same period is 8.5°C (47.3°F), and the long-term annually averaged sea surface temperature is 16.1°C (60.9°F).
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201613
------------------------------------------------------
The whole claim the earth is rapidly warming is crap. The experts said the avg earth temp was 15.0C for about a hundred years. Now they say 2016 was 14.84C, which they claim is a new record high.
The only reason to say that's a new record high is they've lowered the historical temps of the past century. And now the temp of 2016 which is almost exactly what they used to say was the avg for 1896-1988 is high ONLY because of the lowering adjustments.
Now let's look back at what NOAA said the avg temp was in 1997:
ncdc.noaa.gov
The global average temperature of 62.45 degrees Fahrenheit for 1997 was the warmest year on record ...
62.45F = 16.92C
So how can 2016's 14.84C be a record high when they said back in 1997, that that year was 16.92C? It can't. |
|
