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Strategies & Market Trends : APMP (formerly APM)

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To: marc chatman who wrote (9681)1/8/1998 9:14:00 AM
From: Richard Haugland  Read Replies (2) of 13456
 
***Off Topic*** Marc, the Thai baht went from 41.7 to 47.3 in the 17 days I was there and has now deteriorated to over 52/$US. The cost of my rental car went down and down as I drove it! I left mostly in cash too and have not bought anything since returning. Unfortunately my CREAF, which I help, went the same direction as APM after going up to 29+ then down to who knows what today with the SES down over 5% overnight. Right now I don't know WHAT to buy. I bought some QNTM at 18 on a low-ball order I placed before leaving and it looked good until the SEG warning yesterday.

However my trip did what I wanted in being an almost total removal from stocks for 7 weeks. Good for the psych. The ordinary English language papers in India, Nepal and Thailand carry almost no news about specific US-traded stocks and I did not seek further. I also did not interact much with business-type people on this trip but can imagine what they must be going through with their dollar-denominated loans doubled within the past six months and interest rates >20%.

Thailand expects no growth this year and increasing layoffs. It will not sponsor any graduate students next year, is cutting the monthly stipend current grad students 10% and apparently will not sponsor students who get an M.S to continue for a Ph.D. (at this time at least).

I'll be watching for some (more) bargains but I am not convinced yet that 1998 will be an up year at all and I may want to get totally out of computers for now.
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