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Biotech / Medical : biotech binary events
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To: tuck who wrote (285)9/21/2017 5:18:45 PM
From: semi_infinite    of 295
 
Thx. The decay is so flat that it is not worth the risk to do vertical spreads. Calendars are a possibility as are strangles/collars. Equiprobable 5 and 50 and even those are not 2 Sdev moves. 50 sounds like a very low prob event based upon your comments so the market seems to be pricing in clarifying results one way or the other. I am not sure i would want to handicap this with real $. If I do, I would probably do strangles or collars as verticals don't have the risk/reward imo.
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