Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives

SPY 681.86

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Dec 31 4:00 PM EST

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Don Green

To: ChartMan22 who wrote (96922)	9/22/2017 10:48:54 AM
From: robert b furman	1 Recommendation of 220943

Hi chartman, That's a BIG QUESTION MARK! It could be a lot of noise and not result in much. I think the real story on that will be those who hold Tresuries and Mortgage backed securities - who do not want to hold til maturity. I do not have any fixed income positions. I think the larceny that is being planned will coma about a widening bid ask spread from the banks. I think the rate changes will in a long term view be modest - with more than expected volatility with in a range. If you want out on a day with yields jumping up, the banks will take a cut on the higher spread. They've learned to feed the high frequency scalpers on stocks and will consider the same approach with "in house" to bonds - the automation of fixed income so to speak = banks profits in a huge market. Just look at how long the bond bull has run - add a little fear and you've got: " cut my losses I want out". I do not even want to think how a 30 year treasury's value will be as the slow draining of MBS and treasuries relentlessly increases over the years! If we think"lower for longer" applied to oil - just think what the fed will do to fixed income prices? It will make the oil market look like a fast cycle market! Scary and very glad I'm not in it. A completely manipulated market by central banks. ERGGG Bob

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