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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 254.76+1.0%3:25 PM EST

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To: davesd who wrote (14321)1/8/1998 9:39:00 PM
From: 16yearcycle  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
"however, as I stated yesterday...the increase in price is not due to shortage of capacity but more due to reduction in production."

DD,

I saw you post that before.This is known as " supply and demand". When demand exceeds supply, prices tend to go up. When supplies of a product exceed demand for it, prices drop until the there is no longer an excess of supply.

If production is decreased, supply will decrease and the ratio of supply demand will become neutral. You don't have to have a huge increase in demand to eat up supply.

DRAM prices will stabilize due to decreased supply, not increased demand.IMO. The "rise" in prices will allow more profits, and more equipment will be purchased. Supply will increase, prices will drop again.

This is the most trivial nonsense I can imagine posting, but I want to counter this idea that it will take a massive increase in demand to stabilize prices.Units sold will increase well this year, while the se asia problem will reduce supply.By the end of this year, the dram business will hit a sweet spot.

Just mo.

Gene

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