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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: E_K_S who wrote (57544)10/9/2017 6:38:10 PM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (1) of 78666
 
Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) - peeled off 20% @ $21.45/share

I bought this lot of shares 7/2016 @ $13.32/share when the GN model valued these shares at $15/14/share. Today's sale represents a 60% gain from my Buy price.

The current GN valuation for CMTL is $13.70/share showing that the GN valuation has actualy fallen more as a result that EPS has dropped since my original Buy. The last 2 quarters were a turnaround in EPS and more importantly Book-to-Bill has started to increase as have margins.

This is a case of reversion to the mean EPS (if you look at the past 5 years) and there could still be a ways for the stock to run (maybe back to the $35/share area. It's all about future EPS and their growth based on all the new government contracts they appear to be landing.

I like the sector (high technology security) for Home Land defense. I still hold 70% of my orginal position and will be monitoring EPS and new orders. The GN model value s/d actually be increasing as new EPS get updated in the Yahoo Finance database.

EKS
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