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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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From: William Cloutier10/21/2017 11:42:29 AM
  Read Replies (1) of 78702
 
Here's my calculation of a central value for the DJIA.
There's some column in French, but I'm sure you can
understand. :)

I'm using the 10-Year High Quality Market Corporate Bond (HQMCB10YR) for the AAA corp. bonds yield.
HQMCB10YR for 17 oct 2017 = 3,4 % (x2 for the calculation bellow)

In $million:
332 823 / 0.068 = 4 894 461 (that's the central value for a addition of the DJIA companies Market cap.)
The actual Total Market Cap. (for yesterday close) is 6 415 300.
With proportion (Last close of the index): It gives me a central value of 17 798.24 for the dow.

I know I'm not using this year earnings and maybe I will include it another time.
If you see any errors or have any other figure for the 10-Y AAA CB don't be shy

Bénéfices = earnings (from Value Line), Moyenne = Average, Capitalisation Boursière = Market Cap.

Symbol Compagnies Bénéfices ($millions) Capitalisation Boursière ($millions)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Moyenne 20-oct-17
MMM 3M Company 4 444 $ 4 659 $ 4 956 $ 4 833 $ 5 050 $ 4 788 $ 132 000 $
AXP American Express 5 076 $ 5 359 $ 5 884 $ 5 498 $ 5 408 $ 5 445 $ 81 960 $
AAPL Apple Inc. 41 733 $ 37 037 $ 39 510 $ 53 394 $ 45 687 $ 43 472 $ 811 730 $
BA Boing Company 3 903 $ 4 586 $ 5 446 $ 5 176 $ 6 950 $ 5 212 $ 157 190 $
CAT Caterpillar Inc. 6 270 $ 3 815 $ 4 003 $ 2 778 $ 2 015,6 $ 3 776 $ 77 530 $
CVX Chevron Corp. 26 179 $ 21 423 $ 19 241 $ 4 587 $ (497) $ 14 187 $ 224 780 $
CSCO Cisco Systems 10 017 $ 10 866 $ 10 863 $ 11 354 $ 12 022 $ 11 024 $ 171 080 $
KO Coca-Cola 9 019 $ 9 374 $ 9 091 $ 8 797 $ 8 354 $ 8 927 $ 197 530 $
DIS Disney (Walt) 5 682 $ 6 136 $ 7 501 $ 8 382 $ 9 391 $ 7 418 $ 152 710 $
XOM Exxon Mobil 37 380 $ 32 580 $ 32 520 $ 16 150 $ 7 840 $ 25 294 $ 352 230 $
GE General Electric 16 065 $ 16 882 $ 16 723 $ 13 362 $ 13 604 $ 15 327 $ 206 950 $
GS Goldman Sachs 7 475 $ 8 040 $ 8 477 $ 8 933 $ 7 398 $ 8 065 $ 95 190 $
HD Home Depot 4 680 $ 5 385 $ 6 139 $ 6 848 $ 7 957 $ 6 202 $ 192 800 $
IMB International Business Machine 16 604 $ 16 483 $ 15 751 $ 13 364 $ 11 881 $ 14 817 $ 150 970 $
INTC Intel 11 005 $ 9 620 $ 11 704 $ 11 420 $ 13 146 $ 11 379 $ 190 430 $
JNJ Johnson & Johnson 14 345 $ 15 876 $ 16 323 $ 15 409 $ 16 540 $ 15 699 $ 383 320 $
JPM JPMorgan Chase 21 284 $ 17 923 $ 21 762 $ 24 442 $ 24 733 $ 22 029 $ 350 650 $
MCD McDonald's Corp. 5 464,8 $ 5 585,9 $ 4 757,8 $ 4 693,3 $ 4 920,2 $ 5 084 $ 134 970 $
MRK Merck & Co. 11 743 $ 10 443 $ 10 271 $ 10 195 $ 10 580 $ 10 646 $ 175 430 $
MSFT Microsoft 23 171 $ 22 453 $ 22 074 $ 21 885 $ 22 329 $ 22 382 $ 604 120 $
NKE Nike, Inc. 2 223 $ 2 464 $ 2 693 $ 3 273 $ 3 760 $ 2 883 $ 86 310 $
PFE Pfizer Inc. 9 490 $ 11 341 $ 9 088 $ 6 949 $ 7 198 $ 8 813 $ 216 950 $
PG Procter & Gamble 11 344 $ 11 869 $ 12 220 $ 11 535 $ 10 441 $ 11 482 $ 225 730 $
TRV The Travelers Co. 2 439 $ 3 549,5 $ 3 644,6 $ 3 429,7 $ 2 972 $ 3 207 $ 36 580 $
UTX United Technologies 4 840 $ 5 686 $ 6 220 $ 5 563 $ 5 462 $ 5 554 $ 96 680 $
UNH UnitedHealth 5 526 $ 5 625 $ 5 619 $ 5 813 $ 7 792 $ 6 075 $ 201 030 $
VZ Verizon 5 970,4 $ 11 497 $ 13 337 $ 16 324 $ 15 809 $ 12 587 $ 204 120 $
V Visa Inc. 4 203 $ 4 980 $ 5 438 $ 6 328 $ 5 991 $ 5 388 $ 244 700 $
WMT Wal-Mart Stores 16 999 $ 16 728 $ 16 426 $ 14 694 $ 13 452 $ 15 660 $ 259 630 $
Total
344 574 $ 338 265 $ 347 682 $ 325 409 $ 308 186 $ 332 823 $ 6 415 300 $
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