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Strategies & Market Trends : US Inflation and What To Do About It
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To: RetiredNow who wrote (755)12/15/2017 5:15:17 PM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (2) of 1504
 
Sure stock market due for some 1987 or 1997 type crash especially as yield curve flattens dramatically in 2018. Wow 5 vs 10 year spread now down to just 20 basis points.. Bears destroyed in Trump post election rally. Unfortunately over 3% growth ensures more movement upward in rates. I imagine RE will be okay and stocks won't go down for the count at least 3+ years IF the 10 year remains under 3%. As you know in most cycles we usually don't have recession for at least a year AFTER the yield curve flattens out and usually there is a prolonged topping pattern in stocks with lots of volatility. Perhaps 2018 is that volatile topping year and we have minor recession before Trump reelection bid (good timing for the swamp and dems?) with the big downturn/real great depression two in 2022-23

Long term am very very bearish on our future MM. This won't end well as millenials have so much stacked against them (why so mad at Trump and not Yellen and Bernanke astounds me) and they are no where near as resilient as youngest boomers/Gen X and greatest generation. They feel far more entitled and 'special' than oldest boomers who at least had much wind at their backs during the period they were young and middle aged adults 1950's to 1990's.. I've seen more than enough in so many dealings with this demographic coming of age post financial crisis in my business.. I most fear a downturn blamed on Trump leading to socialist takeover of our mainstream culture in this country on the back end..
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