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Technology Stocks : Spectrum Holybyte (SBYT): CIV II is the NEXT MYST!

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To: Thomas Dremel who wrote (107)9/30/1996 10:46:00 AM
From: Andrew Chow   of 124
 
The market is certainly skeptical about SBYT, and they have more than enough reasons to do so, as you have mentioned. However that is why I like the stock. Very few people think a turnaround will occur. Consequently if it doesn't happen, I think the downside is that the stock falls right back to $5 where it started. If a turnaround does occur, this stock should get priced on a price/revenue multiple like other stocks in the sector, which with the revenues generated from the turnaround should be near $15. So I like the risk reward tradeoff, particularly since I view the odds of a decent fiscal 2Q as better than 50/50.

I personally view the odds of a take-out as limited. I think it's unlikely anyone would want to buy the company until it turns around. Conversely I think that management won't want to sell if the turn around occurs. If someone buys SBYT, that's great, but that's not why I'm an owner.
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