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Strategies & Market Trends : Dino's Bar & Grill

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To: Goose94 who wrote (39541)1/12/2018 8:30:10 AM
From: Goose94Read Replies (1) of 203674
 
Crude Oil: Commercials at Record Short Exposure

The weekly price chart below shows that $WTIC has rallied nicely from its early January 2016 low, and is sitting at the 2015 high.


Figure 4: Light Crude Oil Continuous Contract

The bottom line is that investors are excessively optimistic while Commercials are at a record level of bearishness.

The price chart (Figure 5) has a couple of divergences (RSI, MACD, volume) and might be set up for a decline, or correction at a minimum. What is unknowable is whether a pullback will be short and shallow or long and deep.



Tim Taschler
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