much of nations do are in response to what other nations do and do not do
cases in points
(i) why does n.korea devote precious resources to expensive nuke program?
- one take would be n.korea is bemnt on aggression, etc, and the script runs from that starting point
- another take could be that the n.korean leaders do not want to end up like saddam etc
- otoh, s.korea / usa / japan does not wish for replay of 1950-1953 etc etc, and
- neither does china, and perhaps russia, etc etc
- and so the main actors do whatever they believe they have to do
(ii) why does china want to be able to control access to china coast?
- history books taught china to do so, etc etc
(iii) etc etc. crimea, syria, israel, ... convoluted, complicated, stretches way back in time, but nothing changed since a ways back, and cannot change historical facts, whatever they may be
in the case of china peaceful-rise, merely acknowledging china becoming a big country again, and surely shall behave as such, like other big countries
but, per natural scale, gets noticed more so than one would in cases of other nations developments, and because china was once 'big' and relatively speaking was once 'bigger still'
suppose for a moment the romans are again coming to the fore. would there be a worldwide alarm?
vikings? spanish? portuguese? persians? greeks? indians? etc etc,
supppse the japanese starts to (re)-build outsized aircraft carrier fleet complete w/ up-to-date first-strike nuke capability?
germans? hungarians? etc etc
and
so explains what infrastructure rollout on some desolate islands making to the pages of NYT
and so we must watch the developments in cislunar space, and brief on whatever may be happening in quantum, ai, space exploration, genetics, supercomputing, obor / bri, etc to sense where progression trending
on all of the above, one can choose to label it all one way, or spin it another way, and pollute the watch & brief w/ pre-established surmise / premise that would be not helpful, especially for folks who at the outset pronounce 'history does not matter'.
history matters a lot, i believe.
one very important reason the discussions on the middle east situation, china / tibet / taiwan etc were once banned on this thread and would be again banned should such crop up, is because the history is too convoluted to sort out on open thread devoted to teotwawki / darkest interregnum / financial collapse, and i at one time used a favoured phrase, 'just is' to cut short fruitless dialogue over happenings none can materially action on per free-lunch protocol. this is a macro investment thread, as opposed to political / foreign policy / history thread.
nytimes.com
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