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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: MythMan who wrote (13100)1/12/1998 4:06:00 PM
From: Joan Osland Graffius  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
Pete, >>GE at $40 would give it a trailing pe of about 17 which is not

You are correct an average profit growth of around 15% is about what GE has been delivering over the recent past. With the dividend this is better than most mutual funds. People these days seem to be willing to pay for multipal year growth instead of waiting. It is like a cartel, who is going to get out first.<gg> A scenario of GE's price not moving for a few years certainly is possible. OK for those who bought prior to 1993.<gggg>

BTW, I thought VIX was still on an uptrend after Fridays close, but I was wrong again.

The momentum indicator dropping below zero a very disturbing. Historically this occurance has been death to a market. Generally a good leading indicator. It went below zero January 1987 and showed trouble until the big day. It went up above zero but not as strong as the market. A good demonstration that the run in 1987 was a bubble indead. Same with other haircuts during the 60's and 70's. As always time will tell.

Joan
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