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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: RetiredNow who wrote (1058380)3/2/2018 10:36:54 PM
From: Tenchusatsu  Read Replies (1) of 1573454
 
Mindmeld, I felt the same way about Romney's chances of winning.

But I think you neglected to answer my question. How come the polls didn't forsee Obama's margin of victory? It was supposed to be a lot closer than it actually turned out to me.

To me, polls are inherently unreliable. That's why they come with a margin of +/- four points or whatever. And even then, when you look at the results of several different pollsters, they vary more than what that margin would suggest.

It's like one thermometer saying, "It's 40 degrees outside," and another saying, "It's 32 degrees," and yet another saying, "It's 53 degrees." What do you do, average out the results and say, "It's 41.67 degrees"? Or do you look at the reason why all three thermometers can't come up with repeatable results?

Yet the media has relied heavily on polls to drive their narrative, because that's what the public buys into. Even you and I get sucked into this, and we should know better.

Tenchusatsu
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