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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Graham Osborn who wrote (60771)5/3/2018 5:27:47 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris2 Recommendations

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Graham,

I know where you are coming from, but if you have zero terminal value for a company after 10 years, then you'll likely never invest into any good/great company. No company will return to you its market cap within 10 years (even with zero discount rate). And since you're assuming zero terminal value, you have to expect actual dividend return of the size of the market cap, since company will be worth zero in 10 years.

I'm gonna turn around your argument: very very few companies are worth zero after 10 years.

So DCF terminal value is not as stupid as you think it to be.

But feel free to use conservative valuation methods, there's nothing wrong with that.

Best
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