SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Thomas A Watson who wrote (1077522)7/10/2018 6:34:29 PM
From: FJB2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Thomas A Watson
TideGlider

   of 1579897
 
Poll: The Senate Is Looking Grim For Democrats This Year

JOHN SEXTON
Posted at 1:01 pm on July 10, 2018
hotair.com

As you probably know already, Democrats are facing a tough map in the Senate this year. They have to defend 10 seats in red states and try to pick up two additional seats in order to take control of the Senate. This morning, Axios published a poll conducted with Survey Monkey which shows that isn’t happening. The site’s headline says it all: “ Democrats’ Senate dream slips away.”

The state of play: The polls shows three Democratic senators are poised to lose their seats to Republicans — Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota, Bill Nelson in Florida and Joe Donnelly in Indiana.

The site does note that the fates of Joe Manchin in West Virginia and Jon Tester in Montana have improved substantially since the last poll. And Democrats currently appear poised to pick up seats in Arizona and Nevada, though both races are still tight.

The site ran all of the matchups under six different turnout scenarios but no matter how optimistic the turnout projection was for Democrats the bottom line was still the same:

Even under the most optimistic scenarios for Democrats across all 13 states, they would still lose the same seats by a range of one percentage point to 14 percentage points.


Under Republicans’ most bullish forecast, they would actually pick up six seats, the four mentioned above plus Ohio and Missouri.Here’s the graphic produced by Axios:

Looking at these comparisons, several of these races appear to be over, but there are still a few where Dems lead but narrowly, like Nevada and Arizona. Real Clear Politics Senate electoral map currently has the Senate races split 48 Republicans to 44 Democrats (safe plus likely and leaning) with 8 tossup seats. If Republicans take Florida and Tennessee, they only need one more seat (maybe North Dakota) to maintain their slim majority.

The fact that this is happening the day after Trump nominates his second Supreme Court Justice puts in perspective what is at stake. If Republicans maintain control of the Senate, that gives the president two more years where any retirement from the court is left to him to replace. That would make things tougher on Justices Ginsburg (85) and Breyer (79) who would have to hold out until at least 2021 for any hope of a liberal replacement.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News