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Politics : Socialized Education - Is there abetter way?

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From: TimF7/23/2018 3:21:01 PM
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Null Hypothesis Watch
Posted on July 22, 2018 by Arnold Kling
From a report on a site called Straight Talk, on a study by Dale Farran and Mark Lipsey, who write
Our initial results supported the immediate effectiveness of pre-k; children in the program performed better at the end of pre-k than control children, most of whom had stayed home. The press, the public, and our colleagues relished these findings. But ours was a longitudinal study and the third grade results told a different story. Not only was there fade out, but the pre-k children scored below the controls on the state achievement tests. Moreover, they had more disciplinary offenses and none of the positive effects on retention and special education that were anticipated.

Those findings were not welcome. So much so that it has been difficult to get the results published. Our first attempt was reviewed by pre-k advocates who had disparaged our findings when they first came out in a working paper – we know that because their reviews repeated word-for-word criticisms made in their prior blogs and commentary. We are grateful for an open-minded editor who allowed our recent paper summarizing the results of this study to be published (after, we should note, a very thorough peer review and 17 single-spaced pages of responses to questions raised by reviewers).
Social desirability bias is a major factor in what gets published as research into poverty. That is why even when I see studies that seem to refute the null hypothesis, I am doubtful that they will replicate.

arnoldkling.com
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