Some more explanation on eps and analysts comments. ----------------- January 15, 1998
Apple Returns to Profitability; Analysts Are Divided on Outlook
By JIM CARLTON Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Apple Computer Inc. made good on its pledge for renewed profitability in the fiscal first quarter, but left analysts divided on whether the company's cost-cutting moves and new products can keep it in the black.
The Cupertino, Calif., computer maker, as expected, reported net income of $47 million in the period ended Dec. 26, compared with a loss of $120 million a year earlier, and marked the first quarterly profit since September 1996. Sales fell 26% to $1.58 billion from $2.13 billion, as the company continued to lose market share in the personal-computer market.
Under new accounting standards that went into effect late last year, companies must report per-share earnings in two redefined ways, diluted and basic.
Diluted per-share earnings, or net divided by common shares outstanding plus potential common shares from securities such as options and convertible securities, were 33 cents, compared with a loss of 96 cents. Basic per-share earnings, or net divided by shares outstanding, were 37 cents, compared with a loss of 96 cents. Apple said it improved its gross profit margins to 22% from 20% in the September quarter and 19% a year earlier.
The numbers were in line with revised expectations following a surprise projection of profitability last week by Steve Jobs, Apple's interim chief executive. Before that announcement at a San Francisco trade show, analysts' estimates were for break-even results, plus or minus five cents a share.
Before the results were released after the close of major financial markets Wednesday, the company's shares rose 25 cents to $19.75 on the Nasdaq Stock Market. In after-hours trading, Apple's shares fell back to $19.
The selling was apparently triggered by some investors' erroneous impression that Apple had missed analysts' consensus estimates to earn 35 cents in the quarter. Analysts said, however, that estimate didn't account for additional Microsoft Corp. nonvoting shares in the company, which resulted in the diluted earnings of 33 cents. Excluding those and other nonvoting shares, Apple's earnings actually came in at 37 cents -- higher than the analysts' estimates.
"The bottom line is those guys did great and there's no taking it away from them," said Lou Mazzucchelli, analyst at Gerard Klauer Mattison & Co. in New York.
"I just feel a whole lot better about Apple" after seeing these results, added Daniel Kunstler, senior equities analyst for J.P. Morgan Securities Inc. in San Francisco. "They have in their minds an economic model which I believe is sustainable. They also have had new product out, and the market has really responded."
Other analysts expressed skepticism, however, that the quarter meant anything more than a temporary slowdown in Apple's long, downward spiral. The research company of Computer Intelligence, for instance, reports that Apple's share of the market for PC sales in U.S. retail stores plunged to just 1.8% in November from 4.3% in November 1996. Those are the most recent survey results from the company, which is based in La Jolla, Calif.
"I don't see anything but that Apple is still disappearing," said Matt Sargent, a Computer Intelligence analyst.
While Apple's sales continued to deteriorate on a year-over-year basis, they do show signs of stabilizing at about $1.6 billion, which was also the amount reported in the prior quarter. If sustained over a year's time, that would make Apple a company of $6.4 billion in annual sales, or 42% smaller than Apple's peak year of $11 billion in sales in 1995.
Chief Financial Officer Fred Anderson told analysts in a conference call that the company doesn't expect revenue to grow from the first quarter to the second, because the current period is traditionally Apple's weakest. But he added that he expects successively higher growth in the ensuing two quarters, with year-over-year growth finally resuming in the fourth quarter ending in September.
Though company officials wouldn't comment on the profit outlook, people familiar with the situation said that Apple executives have been privately confiding to resellers and others that the company expects it can be profitable for the fiscal year. Mr. Anderson wouldn't comment on that possibility.
Mr. Anderson cited other signs of health. Demand was strong for a new line of Power Macintosh G3 machines introduced in the quarter; Apple said it sold 133,000 of the G3 computers in the period, or about one-fifth of all its machines sold. On the operations front, Apple slashed its expenses by 40% to $313 million from $521 million, through job cuts and other restructuring moves. The company has reduced its head count 32% to 9,300 employees from 13,600 a year ago.
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