Avid Chat discussion with Arch Crawford
Feb 12,2001
Kevin: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 7:59PM CST (-0600 GMT)
fiend..don't forget to eat some ribs w/ that bud lite :)
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 7:59PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Maybe we are going into cyberspace.... not even the stars can forsee???
Kevin: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 7:59PM CST (-0600 GMT)
fiend..don't forget to eat some ribs w/ that bud lite :)
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 7:59PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Maybe we are going into cyberspace.... not even the stars can forsee???
PKDAVEYBOY: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:00PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Is this it yet?
|| AVID TRADER ||: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:01PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Welcome to this evening's chat with Arch Crawford . . . are you there, Arch?
Arch Crawford: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:01PM CST (-0600 GMT)
test
: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:01PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Kevin, I don't know how you do it...you just keep getting funnier.
fiend: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:02PM CST (-0600 GMT)
No way! The Fiend is always wrong! If you traded opposite of my trades for the past year, you would be rich. Come on you guys, get out there and buy...stocks really are cheap and the bears are just silly fools.
J. White: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:02PM CST (-0600 GMT)
ooops, lost handle...hello Arch!
fiend: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:02PM CST (-0600 GMT)
No way! The Fiend is always wrong! If you traded opposite of my trades for the past year, you would be rich. Come on you guys, get out there and buy...stocks really are cheap and the bears are just silly fools.
PKDAVEYBOY: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:02PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch---what is your take on the record highs that have been seen coming so close to election day?
|| AVID TRADER ||: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:02PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, this question was e-mailed in today: Arch! I have the greatest respect for you, having followed you for years. What are your two most important dates for the rest of this year and your two most important dates for 1997? Thanks and Good Fortune to you! humble1
dex: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:02PM CST (-0600 GMT)
PK/BC, thanks for da buttons.
robert1: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:03PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Good evening Arch
|| AVID TRADER ||: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:03PM CST (-0600 GMT)
All -- this page is reserved for the special chat for the next hour-plus. Thank you.
mr-c: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:03PM CST (-0600 GMT)
test
Arch Crawford: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:04PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Two hottest dates Sept 26 Eclipse of the MOON will be +2 from FED mtg and also DAY OF FIRST PREZ debate!! 2nd is Nov 24 which shud be political or like Chernobyl.
fiend: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:05PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. Crawford is it possible for someone like me who doesn't believe in astrology (or UFOs, bigfoot, the lost city of Atlantis etc.) to use your work? I mean, I would only be concerned with the end result and its accuracy.
Blackcat: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:05PM CST (-0600 GMT)
good evening Arch
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:06PM CST (-0600 GMT)
2 dates next year are FEb 7 and March 8 Feb cud be the final TOP and down into Eclipse in March + more, maybe.
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:06PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Welcome Arch !!
fiend: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:06PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. Crawford do you follow Jay's Spirit of Truth page? He talks about astrology constantly inconjunction with politics and the stock market?
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:06PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, do you use primarily current transits or do you also use birth charts in your analysis?
nyguy: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:07PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Good enening Arch
Allan: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:07PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Bob Prechter mailed out a special report yesterday stating that wave 5 of 5 of 5 of V ended Monday, that the "great bull market" is over. Does any of your work support such a scenario?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:07PM CST (-0600 GMT)
PK Daveboy, My Sept 3 issue headline was "Wud u believe, another NEW HIGH!! Expected TOP near term this WEEK!
YoYo: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:08PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Good evening arch
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:08PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: What percentage of your analysis is astrological and technical?
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:08PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, BTW, nice to hear you, welcome to our little chat.
RH: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:08PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch as an astrologer and trader I would like to thank you for adding credibility to our art and science, and it is both. that is what the layman does not understand.
mr-c: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:08PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, I have been following you on CNBC for years and I have been very impressed by your calls. When you say like Chernobyl does that mean the end of the bull market?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:09PM CST (-0600 GMT)
I don't "believe" either, I'm a statistician. The results of my letter record speak for themselves. Most top guys take it because it's right, not becuz they believe!
robert1: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:09PM CST (-0600 GMT)
You gave us some interesting to look at but for what effect or just key movement dates not necessarily there direction?
YoYo: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:09PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Good evening arch
fiend: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:10PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. Crawford to your credit, you were bullish last year...here is an excerpt from my files from July 8th last year: ARCH CRAWFORD, CRAWFORD PERSPECTIVES. "Extremely Bullish...I tend not to look at news items and fundamentals, just the astronomic cycles and technicals..."
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:10PM CST (-0600 GMT)
fiend, Jay is a pain in the A.. He will be right eventually...but everyone will have forgotten. Like Cassandra, he will be heard but not belisved.
nyguy: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:10PM CST (-0600 GMT)
As a subscriber I can attest to your accuracy this year. It seems that your analysis close to eclipses have been very accurate. Could you say that the upcoming lunar eclipse will bring about a turn in the market?
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:10PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Do you arrive at a 'turning point in time' mainly from an astrological reading?
robert1: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:11PM CST (-0600 GMT)
interesting dates re 8:09
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:11PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Indy, OnLY TRANSITS!! No birthcharts of anything!
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:12PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Allan, My work sez one more hi in FEB! I have a TOP this week, and don't know how much damage will be done short term. Very worried re Lunar Eclipse Sep 26!~!!
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:13PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, what do you think would be a trigger, if anything, for the SatTRINEPlu late Oct.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:13PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. T, Any long term forecast strictly astro. As we get near, more tech input.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:15PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. C., No like Chernobyl means possible nuclear explosion! Heavy PLUTO aspects at Eclipse have been very negative for coercion & use of force. PLUTO also may mean BOND MKTS!
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:15PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: One your peers Robert Hitt, AstroEconomist has a wonderful page on the net... have you checked it out? Wadaya think?
ClayKing: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:16PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, could you give a brief example (of late) of a turning point based on the "stars", what and why.
: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:16PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, Do you think that the moon has an effect on intraday trading?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:16PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Robt I, TOP NOW, Hard DOWN into LUNAR ECLIPSE of 26 Sep. FEB 7-14 Ultimate Bull Mkt TOP!!
OptionRUS: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:16PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Hi Arch. Welcome aboard. On Tues, you told Chicago TV26 you like gold. Do you have any time/price targets?
mr-c: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:17PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, usually before the end of the bull market we have a blow off with very high volume and a large up move and then a pull back do you see any dates where a blow off could occur
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:17PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, thanks, currently reading up on some interesting cycles, tryin to learn how to "harmonize" them. MerCJUr on 9/16 corresponds to the 1/16 or so occurrence, with MerSD same day as eclipse/eclipse conj Sat, I'm currently short. Do you see a correspondence between the great bottom in JAN with this TOP in SEP?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:18PM CST (-0600 GMT)
NY Guy, I don't have a feel for where low this fall. Cud be late Sep to early Dec. Will lean more on tech analysis as we approach.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:18PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr.T., Astro readings give dynamite turning points. MUST BE CONFIRMED BY TECH STUFF!
glub: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:18PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch : what is your best guess for the range of the Dow over the next 12 months ?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:20PM CST (-0600 GMT)
INDY, SATURN trines (120 deg.) PLUTO Oct 26, just before the elections. May throw some unexpected weight to the CONSERVATIVES!
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:21PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. T. Robert Hitt took me to dinner in NYC 14-17 yrs ago. Heard nothing from him till last 3-4 months, we are in touch and I have visited his page. Very interesting!~
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:22PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: Do you use wave count as part of your tech analysis? Do you believe are good for anything else other than surfing?
PKDAVEYBOY: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:22PM CST (-0600 GMT)
ARCH---Very interesting comments about the lunar eclipse. What do you think about the FED with those days Sept24-26...very interesting combo of the two...
mr-c: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:23PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, other than the stars what is the best technical indicator you use for market direction?
|| AVID TRADER ||: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:23PM CST (-0600 GMT)
All -- don't forget to follow the link at the top of this page sometime this evening to register for the free subscriptions give-aways to Arch's newsletter. We will leave the link up into later tonight.
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:24PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, hope we don't overload you, appreciate your time & energy, I know how much time it takes to identify/synthesize/practice this work. Do you worry about letting too many specifics out? too many trying to load up the same trades breaking the affect & all of that?
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:24PM CST (-0600 GMT)
What does your bond analysis say? Technically large double top is in place... what next.???
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:24PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Clay, In Sep 3 ltr I said GOLD wud bottom on Sep 17 cuz SUN/MER trine NEPTUNE should be near the low. Luks like it on the chart as near term trendlines broke pos+ today! Expected turning point July 15-18 because of many MERCURY aspects, mostly negative. IT WAS THE LOW! I thot it'd be a small rally hi, OH WELL!
TP: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:24PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: what technicals are you using and what do they tell you about next week?
: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:25PM CST (-0600 GMT)
im confused, lets use the spx what do you see spx at this friday, 9/30, 10/31, 11/30 and 12/31? im a numbers guy i guess
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:25PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Anon, MOON definitely has effect on intraday tdg. Most often too small to bet. Major aspects set off by MOON can time EXACTNESS. Eclipses have often been High or Low of day TO THE MINUTE!
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:26PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Confused: Is that your handle?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:27PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Optn-r-us, Expect to hold GOLD 6-8 MONTHS! Seasonal is UP & so are proprietary astro sum of cycles. Neg sentiment is on my side.
OptionRUS: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:28PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Thanks
swtrans: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:28PM CST (-0600 GMT)
my handle is swtrans, forgot to add it. so in simple terms, what will spx be friday, end of sept, 10/31 and 12/31?
OptionRUS: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:29PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, do you have any preference for gold futures, XAU, or certain stocks or funds?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:29PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. C., Blow off HIGH NOW, maybe more in FEB. The Vol this time has been in the NASDQ which has been running much higher than NYSE. Also consider derivatives (fut. & optns). I happen to know people are Buying Options on their CREDIT CARDS!!! TULIPS, ANYONE???!!!
ClayKing: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:30PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, at what point in your career, (not from Bob Farrell, I suspect) did you develop an interest in astrology and how, ie what books, mentor, etc.
Joe: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:30PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: Follow up on gold. How high is up (on XAU)?
J. White: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:30PM CST (-0600 GMT)
arch, lol!
swtrans: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:31PM CST (-0600 GMT)
are you saying we are at the blow off high, market will drop until feb, then final blow off?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:32PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Indy, Said in Sep 3 ltr to expect TOP this week for many of those same reasons. I am short too.
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:32PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, do you consider your cycles work to be "mature", do you still conduct research?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:32PM CST (-0600 GMT)
GLUB, I work in TIME and not really in price. Feb hi may be over 6000, who knows?
Ringo: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:33PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Welcome Arch
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:34PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. t. I don't use wave counts directly, but I talk to Bob P. occasionally. Respect his short term opinion, although he's been too rigid on the long term work.
Allan: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:35PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Do you have an opinion on the work of Donald R. Bradley? Have you an opinion of The Delta Phenomenon by Welles Wilder?
OptionRUS: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:35PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, what T/A methods do you employ?
swtrans: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:35PM CST (-0600 GMT)
still confused what you are saying, has market topped for sept 96 and you expect it to drop somewhat until feb 97?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:35PM CST (-0600 GMT)
PK, FED mtg on the 24, 1st debate on the 26. Shud be some fireworks in there somewhere.
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:35PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Can there be a big down now and a secondary rally in Feb? Or does your work say that Feb will unconditionally be a higher high than this one?
dex: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:35PM CST (-0600 GMT)
ahhh another bear with a position...i *like* this guy!
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:35PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, did the JUP conj Node early this week affect your opinion?
Ringo: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:36PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch...Long term yield 8% by xmas?
J. White: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:36PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, I second OptionsRUS, what TA tools do you use?
swtrans: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:37PM CST (-0600 GMT)
fireworks to upside or downside?
Robert: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:37PM CST (-0600 GMT)
lurking
Dan: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:38PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: Do you think the Nasdaq will lead the way down?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:38PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. C., I was assistant to Bob Farrell over at MLPF&S; & do considerable tech work, much of which I developed. NOTHING works all the time, and I seem to need a wide range of indicators to nail this sucker. Some of best are Put/Call Ratio and Granvilles CLIMAX ind. NEW HI/New Hi & New LOWS.
|| AVID TRADER ||: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:38PM CST (-0600 GMT)
All -- Arch is answering questions on a FIFO basis, so if you have not yet seen a response to yours, be patient. Thank you.
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:40PM CST (-0600 GMT)
What does your put/call ratios tell you? Can the market go down if there is a lot of puts?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:40PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Indy, I have 2 Hotlines, a letter, & consulting clients. I tell them all I know! The floor guys check all the top Gurus stops which are pretty much available, then go for them. There is little can be done about the "STOPP BANDITS". Otherwise, no, I don't worry.
deaner: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:40PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Thank you for visiting us tonight Arch. WHAT IS IT ABOUT LUNAR EVENTS THAT EFFECTS PEOPLES TRADING/INVESTING BEHAVIORS?
dex: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:40PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, Technically speaking, what do you see as the biggest problem with this market at the moment?
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:42PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Two years ago when the NASDAQ volume overtook the NYSE volume people yelled sign of a top and now two years later this market is still going higher with big volume on NAsdaq
TP: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:42PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: for put/call do you use volume or dollar ratio
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:42PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. T.,, On BONDS, the UPSIDE breakout in August was followed by terrible FAILURE and then a retest of pattern lows. Not a good sign. A break either way will point the new direction. I'm neutral med-term, SHORT near-term.
ClayKing: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:42PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, if your astro works reads far to one side, lets say bullish, but your technical work reads bearish, do you favour either or do you stay sidelined?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:42PM CST (-0600 GMT)
TP, NEXT WEEK DOWN!
J. White: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:42PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, well said on the floor boys...easy money fro them :)
Pua: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:43PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Isn't it worrisome that NASDAQ broke resistance today--for us bears that is.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:44PM CST (-0600 GMT)
SW TRANS, You some kind of obsessive? I can't do that. Wud I be talking to you guys?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:45PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Optn-be-us, I have no preference on the vehicle. I trade the RYDEX funds & move 'em around. Used to trade the COMEX contract for a living. They all are going to move pretty much together.
Robert: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:46PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch are you familiar with the work of Greg Meadors? Have his ideas influenced yours?
robert1: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:47PM CST (-0600 GMT)
You say you can see time but not degree of movement but can foresee violent vs mild?
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:47PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, any comments on GANN mysterious commentary that no one can seem ot figure out? He claimed EXACT cycle repeats, too much hype in your opinion?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:47PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Clay, While I was Farrell's 1st assistant (1961-64), an article came out 1st page WSJ re astro use by LtCmdr David Williams. Recommend his"FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY", Don Bradley "STOCK MKT PREDICTION" and Matlock's "MAN & COSMOS"
deaner: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:47PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch can you give us a rough success rate on your calls such as you posted earlier, ie the Sept 17 call on gold, the turn a bit later this month and the Nov date?
khf10: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:49PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Hy Arch.....Just purchased tickets 2 the Neil Diamond cert,Nov. 26., N downtown Foat Wurth...Should I cancel?.....Know offence.....Just kiddin......Ken
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:49PM CST (-0600 GMT)
SWT, Dan, Mr.T., Good bet Feb higher. Short NOW. Don't know when or where a FALL LOW in genrl mkt. NASDQ has been weaker, stronger this week. It has HI-BETA & will move more both ways.
mr-c: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:51PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, Do you have any books out that explain your work with relation to astrology?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:51PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Indy, I don't think we're meant to know everything, always more. Keeps u on yr toes!!! The Universe is infinite and changing = We must be too!
YoYo: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:51PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, Have you heard of Elaine Garzarelli? What do you think of her analysis? Any thoughts will be appreciated.
TP: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:51PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: this is a question that nags me about gurus , don't take it the wrong way: why spend time on a newsletter if you can make money trading. Wouldn't a big following ultimately defeat your system?
YoYo: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:52PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, Have you heard of Elaine Garzarelli? What do you think of her analysis? Any thoughts will be appreciated.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:52PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Allan, Bradley is 1 of 3 books recommended. WILDER done some good work. Don't think it's worth $35,000 but interesting nevertheless.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:55PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Otn-be-us,TP, Put/Call prefer $ but don't have genrly available. WYSONG was a friend & his nos. are in McGinleys letter now but late. So I use whats quick. Covered some tech prev question. I have 28 tech indicators, some pretty wierd!
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:55PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, do you instruct interested but not too rich yet folks?
Joe: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:55PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: Other than gold, are there other sectors that will do well s/t in the predicted down market (natural resources, oil, industrial material)? Thank you.
RH: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:56PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch the whole point of understanding astrology is not just to profit in a financial sense but to KNOW that there is an underlying order to human affairs that goes beyond what is easily seen with the naked eye.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:56PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Indy, GANN wrote 7 books, never gave any detail on ASTRO. Said only watch out for ECLIPSES and solstice/equinoxes. That's ALL. He did some amazing trades. His son denied inheriting much.
mr-c: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:57PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, what do you think of the oil stocks will they hold up in the down market?
Paver: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:57PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Hia all and Arch, Got off work late, will try to catch up!
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:58PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Indy, JUP aspect to NODE question. ALL Major outer planets to the NODE can wreak havoc, or put in a change point!
Pua: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:58PM CST (-0600 GMT)
I have to respect RH's comment on the purpose of understanding astrology. Mr. Crawford, I would like to hear your comments on the subject.
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 8:59PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, Tunnel thru ari -- VenTRIUr directly mentioned, out of trading context, though.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:00PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. T./ Put/Call ratio has been VERY LOW last 3-4 days. Confirms weakness herre. Those #'s can get very strong before a turn is necessary. Many times, the market MUST BOTTOM THEN or CRASH. Trouble is it can do either! That's what makes markets//
deaner: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:00PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, I'll make a deal with you. If your call bails me out of my long XAU position, I will subscribe!
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:01PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr. C., No books out yet. Working on it, but not soon!
|| AVID TRADER ||: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:02PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Let's wind things down now, still a few questions that Arch is getting back to.
J. White: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:02PM CST (-0600 GMT)
deaner...me too ;)
dex: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:02PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, again I ask: what are the 3 biggest things wrong, technically speakin, with this market?
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:02PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, to be honest, I have subscribed to your letter found it very useful. first-rate market knowledge. I personally do not believe astro is in any way religiously related. the worship of created things makes no sense, anyway. Logically speaking, the touting of astro as religion I think is on shaky ground. Please take no offense, none personally intended!
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:03PM CST (-0600 GMT)
DEX, Biggest problem I see is the coming ECLIPSE SERIES. Otherwise, very long term fundamental over-BOT. "7" year coming up as well as 1st year of new PREZ term. This bunch of factors VARY DAMAGING for 1997!
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:04PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Clay, When the tech does not confirm astro, I get nervous. The tech is more grounded in reality. There are so many astro factors, we are in early days of this analysis form.
khf10: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:05PM CST (-0600 GMT)
ARCH.....Just received 2 day,N the U-Knighted States Male,my 2Nd. epistle from Elaine G.,U no, that wild haired yankee vixon...which say;"HI SWEETEE; SELL ALL U.S. STOCKS & STOCK FUNS,& send the money 2 her,also said I could join up & receive her "private" letter.....Wattcha think?
Robert: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:06PM CST (-0600 GMT)
khf10 is pretty funny.
TP: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:06PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: regarding Indicatman at 9:02. you said you are a statistician and not a believer. Do you then think that the effects of astrology on market are a reflection of the actions of the believers?
J. White: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:06PM CST (-0600 GMT)
khf10...*I* think you got some prime tinder to lite them generic longs with
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:07PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Robert, Greg is an acquaintance & sometimes friend & sometimes pain. I do not know any of his work in detail, he has many articles. He posts prediction, but not always method, so he has not affected me at all. Always enjoy his posts when not on Methodology Contest, which I dropped out of when the sponsor stopped publishing.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:09PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Robtb 1, MIld or violent? Sometimes. And sometimes not. ECLIPSE of MOON forming a cross with MARS & PLUTO (one of the worst days of the century) SADDAM attacked Kuwait & mkt -107 on the day. My prediction for that day was in BARRON'S 2 weeks before! THAT WAS OBVIOUS. Not often obvious.
Joe: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:10PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: I will subscribe with deaner and J. White if you have made the right call on gold. Please answer about other sectors that may hold up including oil. Thank you
J. White: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:10PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch do you know of "The Merlin Project"
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:11PM CST (-0600 GMT)
deaner, I have had people ask me to just tell them the one's that are going to work!!??!! This is a statistical game. If I knew which were going to work, I'd own the world!! Have to play them ALL or NONE.
glub: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:12PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch : what is your best guess for a low date for the dow in 1996 ?
|| AVID TRADER ||: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:12PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Just a few more questions left, thank you all for joining us this evening. If you have any more questions or comments left for Arch, please e-mail them to starman@avidinfo.com Thank you.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:13PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Mr.c. & Joe, Oil stocks usually come UP to put in the TOP, esp in DJIA which is loaded with them. They hold up while everything else gets sold. Then they go down Too!
mr-c: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:14PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch -still waiting to hear your thoughts on OIL
dex: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:15PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, i just gotta ask...whattya think about Bankin Issues? If no opinion that's OK (beginnin to wonder if I have one myself?!?)
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:15PM CST (-0600 GMT)
TP, Which came first, the chicken or the egg? Believers make it happen? NO! Sunspots make it happen, and the MOON regulates their effect on the Earth.
mr-c: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:16PM CST (-0600 GMT)
dex - many rumors out there on bank take overs
Blackcat: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:16PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: previous cycles have proved your opinion to a T, since oils have the highest correlation w/ inflation. Is it coming?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:16PM CST (-0600 GMT)
GLUB, I do not at this time have ANY feel for the time & price of LOW this fall. I will lean very heavily on the tech analysis side but won't touch anything until AFTER THE ECLIPSES!
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:17PM CST (-0600 GMT)
DEX, Banking issues same as OILS, see earlier question.
dex: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:17PM CST (-0600 GMT)
mr-c: and take UNDERS!
Joe: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:18PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: Suprised at your answer about oil with your prediction of serious trouble in Middle East. Could you elaborate?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:18PM CST (-0600 GMT)
BC, Inflation is always coming. Then deflation, then Inflation...etc... Which first, NOW? I think a little INFL followed by a LOT of DEFL.
Ast: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:19PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Didnt get my message thru. So here is it again. The Feb 7th 97 grand Conjunction is similar the 87 top. I suspect there could be a crash into the Mar eclipse, just like 87. What is your opinion?
Mr T: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:19PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: I gotta leave.. but I thank you for your comments!
glub: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:20PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Thanks for your time Arch , goodnight from Vancouver .
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:21PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Deaner, RH, Pua (saved this one for last: Re:Lunar events, underlying order. The more I analyze the universe, the more order I see. I believe that the main influence is from the sun. The planetary alignment calls forth a reaction from the sun. Our electrical body is affected by this through the medium of the moon and the tides.
TP: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:22PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: Do you have a timing for your inflation/deflation scenario.
mr-c: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:22PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch Great chat session thanks for your time - got to go
deaner: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:22PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Thank you ARCH! Remember, I will subscribe but the XAU must go to 132 soon!
Indycatman: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:23PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, thanks for your time & efforts.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:23PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Joe:The biggest effect that I see immediately ahead is Nov 24th on oil and the middle east, and I may be staying short the general market through that period.
OptionRUS: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:24PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, thanks a lot !! It is so good to hear it straight and not just the warped 'stargazer' view the TV guys like to dwell on!!
ClayKing: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:24PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, thank you for your time, best wishes for your success with your unique methods.
barbarian: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:25PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Hello, late from work. Has the chat ended?
: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:25PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, you didn't answer the Garzrelli questions, but thank's anyway. The rest of the chat was great.
Blackcat: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:25PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Thanks Arch. AVID did I win?
RH: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:26PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch thanks for the time. Astrology has finally come of age and you have done all of us a graet favor by being in the front lines.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:26PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Ast : actually the 87 top occurred exactly on the harmonic convergence planetary alighment. WE then dropped into the solar eclipse which was the low of the first leg down, and it hit the low in the morning of the eclipse and closed up 70 Dow points which was the largest up day in history at that time.
: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:26PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, you didn't answer the Garzrelli questions, but thank's anyway. The rest of the chat was great.
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:27PM CST (-0600 GMT)
. . . Then the market rallied two weeks, and started back down on the lunar eclipse of Oct 6, which was down 96 Dow points, the worst day in history to that point. From there it went straight down into the crash.
dex: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:27PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, thanks for sharing you're insights/methods....
Ast: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:27PM CST (-0600 GMT)
OK, what about the 97 conjunctions?
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:28PM CST (-0600 GMT)
anon: re: Elaine. We are friends. I don't know if she will admit that :)
=Arch Crawford=: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:29PM CST (-0600 GMT)
ast: see earlier comment looking for full blown market top on either Feb 7 or 14.
barbarian: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:29PM CST (-0600 GMT)
I gotta get this in; Mr. Crawford, what if they find new planets, is that like IPO's ? (SIC humour)
deaner: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:29PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Avid, Thank you for bring Arch to Avid Trader's Chat. Keep up the good work!!
|| AVID TRADER ||: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:30PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch -- thank you very much for sharing the evening with us. And great questions, too, from all who participated. Don't forget to register for the drawing (not you, Arch).
Joe: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:30PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch: Comment 9:23 -Stay short general (oil, natural resouce, etc) market unitil Nov24? Sorry for being dense.
khf10: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:31PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch.....Thanx....Would knot ever insult,B rude,R discourtiess 2 U,R any of AVID'S guests.............cept mabe J.W..........Naw,knot even J.W.
|| AVID TRADER ||: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:31PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Joe -- arch was referring to stocks.
Ringo: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:32PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Thanks Arch
ClayKing: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:32PM CST (-0600 GMT)
Arch, I want the answer to barbarian's question.
: . . . . Wed, Sep 18, 9:35PM CST (-0600 GMT)
??? |
